Mohammad Reza Naqdi: 90% of Iran’s Missiles Intact

Mohammad Reza Naqdi claimed Iran still possesses more than 90% of its missile arsenal and is producing missiles faster than it fires them. The senior IRGC adviser also threatened Israelis, telling those whose families came from other countries to “flee quickly” if they wanted to survive.

Naqdi presented the six-month war as an easy Iranian victory and claimed Tehran has not yet needed its full military capabilities. Yet his claims remain unverified and sit uneasily beside documented damage to Iran’s missile infrastructure. U.S. and Israeli strikes have repeatedly targeted launch sites, manufacturing facilities, air defenses, and other parts of the regime’s military network.

His threat to Israelis also collides directly with the biblical story of Jewish return. Amos 9:15 declares: “I will plant them upon their land, and they shall never again be uprooted from their land.” Iran’s leaders may continue calling on Jews to abandon Israel. The Zionist answer has remained the same for generations: the Jewish people have returned home and intend to remain.

Mohammad Reza Naqdi Claims Iran’s Arsenal Is Growing

“We have 90% of our missiles,” Naqdi said in an interview with Lebanon’s Al Mayadeen. He claimed new missiles are continuously entering Iran’s arsenal and that production now exceeds battlefield consumption. Naqdi has made similar claims before, telling PBS this month that Iran could continue producing and launching missiles even if the war lasted for years.

The available evidence gives reason to treat that confidence cautiously. A Washington Post analysis found damage at four major Iranian ballistic missile manufacturing locations and at least 29 launch sites during the war’s first month. The IDF has also reported strikes against major production infrastructure at Parchin and Shahrud. Those sites included facilities connected to missile engines, propellant, warheads, and assembly.

AP recently assessed that U.S. and Israeli forces have achieved significant degradation of Iran’s missile systems and defense industry. However, Iran clearly retains the ability to launch missiles, drones, and other attacks. The renewed fighting around the Strait of Hormuz has demonstrated that Tehran remains dangerous despite months of strikes.

Naqdi also credited Iran’s supposed success to divine assistance. “We expected victory because we were confident and believed in God’s promise,” he said, adding that Iranian forces had not expected victory to come “so easily.”

An IRGC Threat Against Israel’s Permanence

The most revealing portion of Naqdi’s interview was not his missile arithmetic. It was his message to Israelis.

“If the Israelis who came from other countries want to save their lives, they must quickly return to the countries they came from,” he said. Naqdi warned that otherwise they would receive no mercy.

The statement repeats a central ideological premise of the Iranian regime: that Jewish sovereignty is temporary and Israelis can eventually be driven from the land. It ignores thousands of years of Jewish history in the Land of Israel and the reality of a sovereign nation that has repeatedly survived attempts to destroy it.

That threat also adds context to “Trump on Iran: ‘Israel Would Be Gone Without Me.’” President Donald Trump was right to identify the existential danger behind Iran’s nuclear ambitions and violent ideology. Where his claim went too far was suggesting Israel’s survival depends on one American leader. Naqdi’s own words demonstrate why Israel has built the military strength to guarantee its own survival.

The latest rhetoric also follows renewed direct American action against the IRGC. U.S. forces struck Iranian launchers on Larak Island after officials said they were preparing to deploy sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz. Iran then retaliated against American positions, underscoring that Tehran’s military capabilities remain a concern for Washington as well as Jerusalem.

A Covenant to Stand and Defend

America and Israel share a covenantal conviction that freedom carries obligations before God. Both traditions reject the idea that free peoples should abandon their homes because an authoritarian enemy threatens violence. Sovereignty requires courage, preparation, truth, and the ability to defend the next generation.

That common principle is especially clear when Iranian officials openly threaten Israelis with expulsion while boasting about the weapons designed to attack them. Israel has the first responsibility to defend Jewish sovereignty. America likewise has a longstanding interest in resisting regimes that use missiles, terrorism, and intimidation to dominate neighboring peoples and strategic waterways.

Naqdi may claim that victory has come easily and that Iran’s arsenal is growing. The battlefield evidence presents a far more complicated picture. Iran remains dangerous, but its military infrastructure has also suffered substantial damage under sustained American and Israeli pressure.

His final demand is easier to answer. Israelis will not be frightened into abandoning their country. Jewish sovereignty was not restored so that Tehran could decide when the Jewish people must leave again.

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